Would Dodgers Still Be World Series Favorites Without Shohei Ohtani?

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Would Dodgers Still Be World Series Favorites Without Shohei Ohtani?

Would Dodgers Still Be World Series Favorites Without Shohei Ohtani?

The Los Angeles Dodgers are a powerhouse in MLB and the odds-on favorite to win the World Series by quite a margin.

Would Dodgers Still Be World Series Favorites Without Shohei Ohtani?

The Los Angeles Dodgers are a powerhouse in MLB and the odds-on favorite to win the World Series by quite a margin.

The Los Angeles Dodgers entered the 2024 season as the undisputed juggernaut of Major League Baseball, the overwhelming betting favorite to win the World Series. Their historic offseason spending spree, headlined by the signing of two-way superstar Shohei Ohtani, was designed to build an almost insurmountable roster. But in baseball, even the most talented teams are not immune to the unpredictable nature of injuries, raising a critical question: would the Dodgers still be the team to beat if they lost their brightest star?

According to a recent analysis from FanGraphs, the answer is a fascinating yes. While Ohtani is undoubtedly the best player on the planet—a unique force who terrifies pitchers and changes games with his bat, speed, and elite pitching—his absence alone wouldn't sink the ship. Projections suggest that even without Ohtani's historic production, the Dodgers would still be an 88- to 90-win team, strong enough to remain the favorites in the competitive NL West and secure a crucial postseason bye.

This speaks volumes about the incredible depth General Manager Andrew Friedman has assembled. The lineup still features MVP-caliber talent like Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, and the pitching staff has the arms to theoretically cover the loss of Ohtani's innings. The psychological blow of losing such a transformative player is real, but on paper, the roster is built to withstand a single major injury.

However, the equation shifts dramatically if the Dodgers face a worst-case scenario. The analysis notes that losing both Ohtani and their other prized offseason acquisition, ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto, would be a crippling blow. Yamamoto is projected as a true workhorse ace, and subtracting his elite arm alongside Ohtani's two-way value would test the limits of even this deep roster, potentially knocking them from their perch as World Series frontrunners.

For now, the Dodgers' combination of top-tier star power and remarkable depth keeps them at the top of the baseball world. But their season, and their championship aspirations, may ultimately hinge on the health of their two most expensive and electrifying players. It's a high-stakes reminder that in sports, the best-laid plans are always one twist of fate away from being rewritten.

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