Hindsight is a powerful tool in the NFL, and few recent draft decisions invite more "what if" scenarios than the San Francisco 49ers' 2021 selection of quarterback Trey Lance. The team made a massive investment, trading a haul of future picks to move up to the third overall spot, banking on Lance's raw athleticism and potential. However, after just four starts in two seasons, a combination of injury, development hurdles, and the stunning emergence of "Mr. Irrelevant" Brock Purdy rendered the move a costly misstep.
So, with the clarity of hindsight, who should the Niners have taken? The answer, for many analysts, is glaringly obvious: Micah Parsons. While the team was fixated on finding their quarterback of the future, passing on the Penn State linebacker—who has since become a perennial Defensive Player of the Year candidate for the Dallas Cowboys—stands as a monumental missed opportunity.
Imagine that 2021 draft night playing out differently. Instead of packaging picks to move up, the 49ers could have stayed put at their original 12th selection. There, they likely could have grabbed Parsons, a generational defensive talent whose explosive pass-rushing ability would have perfectly complemented Nick Bosa, creating a nightmare for opposing offensive lines. While the 49ers' defense remains elite, adding Parsons could have elevated it to a historically dominant unit.
The Lance saga underscores the high-risk, high-reward nature of the NFL draft, especially when targeting a franchise quarterback. While the 49ers ultimately found their answer in Purdy, the path there was far more expensive and turbulent than it needed to be. The lesson is clear: sometimes the best pick isn't the one you trade the farm for, but the game-changing talent that falls right into your lap.
