The Houston Texans are coming off a 12-win season, but can they top that mark in 2026? With the NFL schedule now officially released, it's time to take an early look at what lies ahead for this rising AFC powerhouse.
On paper, oddsmakers actually rank Houston's schedule as the seventh-easiest in the league this fall. But don't let that fool you—the Texans are being tested early and often. A marquee road trip to London headlines the slate, and the season closes with back-to-back primetime showdowns against NFC playoff contenders: the Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers.
The AFC North is also stacked. Cincinnati and Baltimore are expected to be stronger, while Cleveland might have the league's most favorable schedule. On top of that, Houston still has to face four additional playoff teams from last season. So, what's the realistic win total for this squad?
Week 1: vs. Buffalo Bills — WIN
Josh Allen may be a superstar, but his kryptonite has been playing in Houston. The Bills should contend for the AFC title under first-year coach Joe Brady, but until they prove they can beat the Texans at Reliant Stadium, the smart money is on Houston.
Week 2: vs. Cincinnati Bengals — WIN
This could be a playoff preview. Cincinnati revamped its defense with the additions of Boye Mafe, Jonathan Allen, and Bryan Cook. Plus, we get a must-watch matchup: All-Pro cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. vs. his former LSU teammate, two-time All-Pro wideout Ja'Marr Chase. Joe Burrow might outduel C.J. Stroud, but home-field advantage gives Houston the edge.
Week 3: at Indianapolis Colts — WIN
Even if Colts quarterback Daniel Jones returns in time, this is a franchise searching for direction. Houston stays undefeated with a road victory, extending their dominance in this division rivalry.
Week 4: vs. Dallas Cowboys — WIN
Dak Prescott leads a potent offense, but Dallas's defense is a major question mark. Despite offseason additions through the draft, relying on the development of Caleb Down and Malachai Lawrence feels risky. Houston's balanced attack should secure another win.
With a favorable schedule and a roster built to compete, the Texans have a legitimate shot at surpassing 12 wins. But as any fan knows, the NFL is unpredictable—and these early predictions are just the start of the conversation.