The stage is set for a pivotal Game 4 in this thrilling second-round NBA playoff series, as the San Antonio Spurs travel to Minneapolis to face the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday night. With the Spurs holding a 2-1 series lead after a hard-fought 115-108 victory on Friday, they’re looking to seize a commanding 3-1 advantage. But the Timberwolves, who stunned the Spurs with a road upset in Game 1, are determined to avoid a third straight playoff loss—a feat they haven’t experienced since 2024.
Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at the Target Center, where the Wolves have won two of three regular-season meetings between these teams. The No. 2 seed Spurs (62-20) have been red-hot, winning five of their last six postseason games, while the No. 6 Timberwolves (49-33) are fighting to regain their early-series momentum. San Antonio enters as a 5.5-point favorite, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, with the over/under set at 218.5 total points.
For fans and bettors alike, this matchup offers plenty of intrigue. The Spurs have leaned on their depth and defensive intensity to bounce back after dropping Game 1, while Minnesota will look to star guard Anthony Edwards to spark a comeback in front of the home crowd. The Wolves’ ability to contain San Antonio’s balanced attack will be key, especially after the Spurs shot efficiently from the field in Game 3.
According to the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, the smart money is leaning toward the under on the total of 218.5 points. The model has been on fire this season, posting a 26-9 record (74%) on top-rated NBA spread picks during the second round of the 2026 playoffs. Historically, it has returned over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated picks over the past eight-plus seasons.
As the series heats up, both teams will be looking to make a statement. Will the Spurs continue their dominance and put the Timberwolves on the brink of elimination? Or will Minnesota rally to even the series? With tipoff fast approaching, all eyes will be on the Target Center for what promises to be a high-stakes showdown.