It all comes down to this. The Detroit Pistons and Orlando Magic are set for a winner-take-all Game 7 on Sunday afternoon, with a ticket to the second round of the 2026 NBA playoffs on the line. The top-seeded Pistons (60-22) have clawed back from a daunting 3-1 series deficit, winning two straight games to force this decisive showdown. For the eighth-seeded Magic (45-37), it's a chance to regroup after a heartbreaking Game 6 loss, where they squandered a 24-point lead. Orlando will be without Franz Wagner, who is sidelined with a calf injury.

Tipoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. Both teams boast .500 records in Game 7s all-time—the Pistons have played 10, while the Magic have appeared in four. According to FanDuel Sportsbook, Detroit enters as an 8.5-point favorite, with the over/under for total points set at 202.5.

For those looking to make informed picks, the SportsLine Projection Model has run 10,000 simulations of this matchup. The model has been on fire this season, generating well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. During the second full week of the 2026 playoffs, it's riding a 25-9 roll (74%) on top-rated spread picks.

Here are the latest NBA odds for Magic vs. Pistons:

Spread: Pistons -8.5
Over/Under: 202.5 points
Money Line: Check your sportsbook
Streaming: Available on major platforms

After 10,000 simulations, the model is leaning toward the Over on the total (202.5). The last meeting in Detroit sailed past that mark by more than a dozen points, and entering the playoffs, the Over was 6-3 in the Pistons' last nine home games. The O/U has dropped in every game of this series, despite splitting 2-2 so far. With everything on the line, expect high intensity—and potentially high scoring—in this do-or-die clash.