Oregon projected to make expanded NCAA Tournament field, per ESPN

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Oregon projected to make expanded NCAA Tournament field, per ESPN

Oregon projected to make expanded NCAA Tournament field, per ESPN

ESPN's projections for the new NCAA Tournament include the Oregon Ducks after an eventful offseason for Dana Altman.

Oregon projected to make expanded NCAA Tournament field, per ESPN

ESPN's projections for the new NCAA Tournament include the Oregon Ducks after an eventful offseason for Dana Altman.

The Oregon Ducks men's basketball program has experienced a dramatic offseason turnaround, and the latest projections from ESPN suggest it could pay off with a return to the NCAA Tournament.

After a challenging 12-20 season—Dana Altman's worst in Eugene—the Ducks lost nine players to the transfer portal, including stars Jackson Shelstad and Kwame Evans Jr., while Nate Bittle exhausted his eligibility. With just one returning scholarship player and three unproven freshmen on the roster, many questioned how Altman could rebuild quickly enough to compete.

Fast forward to today, and the picture looks entirely different. Altman masterfully brought in eight transfers, creating a roster with an impressive blend of size and shooting ability. Now, ESPN bracketologist Joe Lunardi's updated projections—following the tournament's expansion to 76 teams—have Oregon back in the mix. The Ducks are slotted as a No. 11 seed facing LSU in a play-in game, with the winner advancing to face No. 6 seed Texas Tech in Minneapolis as part of the Midwest bracket.

Interestingly, No. 3 seed Louisville sits on the same side of the bracket, setting up a potential showdown with former Duck Jackson Shelstad—unless the teams meet earlier in November's Players Era event.

If these projections hold, Oregon would be one of 12 Big Ten teams in the field, trailing only the SEC (13) for conference representation. This is a remarkable achievement considering the Ducks ranked No. 20 in 247 Sports' recruiting class rankings for 2026, blending high school talent with transfer portal additions. Four-star forward Tajh Ariza—son of NBA veteran Trevor Ariza—leads the freshman class, while Arizona transfer Dwayne Aristode headlines the newcomers.

For a team coming off a disastrous season and relying on an almost entirely new roster, this projection speaks volumes about Altman's scouting and recruiting prowess. The Ducks have reloaded, and the college basketball world is taking notice.

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