Liverpool's dramatic decline under Arne Slot has been laid bare by a revealing statistic that perfectly captures how far the Reds have fallen in just 12 months. While fans didn't need advanced analytics to see the struggles, the numbers tell a story that's impossible to ignore.
Last season, Liverpool were preparing to parade the Premier League trophy around a jubilant Anfield. Now, with just two weeks remaining in the campaign, the Reds are still fighting to secure Champions League football for 2026/27—even though fifth place in the Premier League is enough to qualify. The contrast couldn't be starker.
The frustration boiled over last weekend when a 1-1 draw against Chelsea at Anfield was met with audible boos at the final whistle. Even the most loyal match-goers have reached their breaking point, and the tension around the club is palpable.
But it's the Opta statistics that truly highlight the extent of Liverpool's collapse. For the first time since Slot took charge, the Reds' six-game rolling average for non-penalty expected goals (xG) against has been higher than their xG for—across more than one game. In plain English? Liverpool are creating fewer quality chances than their opponents, a worrying trend that has persisted.
To put this in perspective: back in early 2025, Liverpool's xG For sat at an impressive 3.0, while xG Against hovered around just 0.5. Fast forward to now, and that gap has completely flipped, with the opposition now holding a nearly 0.5 xG advantage over the last six Premier League matches.
While xG stats aren't everyone's preferred metric, they confirm what the eye test has been showing for weeks: Liverpool have lost their attacking edge and defensive solidity. For a club of this stature, and for a manager who started so brightly, it's a sobering reminder that form can evaporate quickly in the unforgiving world of top-flight football.
