Arch Manning. Dante Moore. Trinidad Chambliss. Darian Mensah. Brendan Sorsby. C.J. Carr. Gunner Stockton. Julian Sayin. LaNorris Sellers. Sam Leavitt.
None of those guys are in the 2026 NFL Draft. We're gonna have to wait a year (or more) for them to be eligible for our Fantasy Football teams.
The 2026 NFL Draft class is a little weak. Not 2022 NFL Draft class weak, but definitely weaker than the 2023, 2024, and 2025 groups.
No. 1 overall pick Fernando Mendoza is pretty close to and NFL-ready quarterback, and fellow prospect Ty Simpson has many traits coaches love. But after them, it's a collection of guys who have some good traits but ultimately aren't viewed as potential franchise quarterbacks.
What's the domino effect? You've already seen it in free agency: Kyler Murray, Geno Smith, Shedeur Sanders, Malik Willis, and Jacoby Brissett still have starting jobs to begin the year. Kirk Cousins, Tua Tagovailoa, and Aaron Rodgers might as well. That's 25% of the NFL's starting quarterback jobs.
The combination of a trickle of quarterback rookies and the lack of development from non-Round 1 throwers has forced teams to settle at that position, and it's also led to a drop-off in receiving production affected by average-or-worse passing games. Last year, there were 57 times a wide receiver or a tight end had 15-plus Fantasy points by one of the above eight throwers -- 35 if you take out the Arizona QBs. That's not a lot and a sign of inferior passing impacting Fantasy Football.
Don't expect a rescue cavalry to charge into the league and save us from this. We're going to have to deal with more weak passing numbers from most of the teams these guys are on. Even the Raiders intend to have Cousins begin 2026 as the starter and bring Mendoza along slowly -- smart for them, potentially awful for us.
A weak quarterback draft class deserves a unique preview. I wrote the player profiles for both Mendoza and Simpson for CBS Sports, and encourage you to read both if you're in a Dynasty league. Let's glance past them and focus instead on what Mendoza's arrival in Las Vegas means, and which team would give Simpson the best chance to shine.
Mendoza isn't as clean a prospect as Joe Burrow or Andrew Luck were when they were taken No. 1 overall, but he's not too far off. As you'll read in his prospect profile, he's incredibly accurate when he's not pressured, with good arm strength and the heart and toughness you crave from a quarterback. Of course, like most QBs, when he is pressured, he will throw with some inconsistencies, but it doesn't mean he can't make plays. It's smart of the Raiders to add Kirk Cousins, whom Mendoza compares to, allowing the franchise to take their time with their prized top pick.
One thing I noticed about Mendoza was that he was never, ever afraid to throw to any of his receivers when it was clear they'd draw a one-on-one matchup. I don't know how often Brock Bowers will be covered one-on-one, but Klint Kubiak did a great job scheming Jaxon Smith-Njigba into one-on-one matchups in Seattle last year and could conceivably do the same with Bowers in Las Vegas.
Mendoza threw to his running backs on 6.9% of his dropbacks last year at Indiana, and 9.5% over the course of his college career. Under Kubiak in Seattle last year, Sam Darnold threw to his running backs on 13.5% of his dropbacks. Prior quarterbacks with Kubiak calling plays had much higher rates -- Derek Carr was at 26.3% in 2024, and Cousins was at 19.4% in 2021, each of whom had a great pass-catching running back and O-line issues that necessitated getting the ball out quickly. Vegas' front five should be substantially better entering 2026, but it's a stretch to say they'll be a top-10 unit. That factor, along with the lack of brand-name talent at wide receiver in Las Vegas, gives me enough faith that Ashton Jeanty will stay very involved in the passing game and won't be overlooked because of quarterback tendencies. By the way, Cousins threw to his running backs in Atlanta at a 25.1% clip last season.
Mendoza will have to show improvement in handling himself when defenses pressure him, and the Raiders will have to add talent around him. In time, both should happen and thus catapult him into the top-12 conversation in Fantasy. The problem is that by the time he gets there, most or all of the aforementioned college quarterbacks will be in the league, and some figure to have way more upside for Fantasy than Mendoza. It's why I wouldn't race to draft him in a Dynasty format unless you're desperate for quarterback help. Redraft leagues won't see Mendoza taken in 2026.
FIVE PLAYS: Fernando Mendoza, QB, Indiana1. Iowa blitzes and shifts coverage at the snap, two things that Mendoza didn't always deal with well but this time he did as he places this deep ball perfectly between defenders & the sideline for a 37-yard gain. Stats say he didn't hit… pic.twitter.com/cZYpLe0gDS
Simpson is the second-best quarterback in the class. He may actually be better than Mendoza in a couple of ways: His processing post-snap seems better, and his arm power is demonstrably better. He might be a little more of a risk-taker, too, though that isn't necessarily a positive. Ultimately, it's Simpson's limited body of work and injury track record that keeps him well behind Mendoza in the prospect pecking order.
But NFL teams are quarterback-needy, and a few may not want to wait until next year to draft one when they can take Simpson and potentially compete this year. Teams might look back at what the Saints did with Tyler Shough and figure they could do the same thing with Simpson -- who feels like a better prospect than Shough was.
FIVE PLAYS: Ty Simpson, QB, Alabama1. Simpson changes the play pre-snap & sees some man-to-man coverage, esp to his right. His pocket is pretty clean, affording the chance to plant his feet and perfectly place his throw on a deep fade right in the bucket for Isaiah Horton, who… pic.twitter.com/DboFsYlQVw
Here's how I'd rank Simpson's prospective teams for long-term Fantasy purposes:
1. L.A. Rams: We'd love any quarterback paired with Sean McVay, but Simpson's football intelligence and good accuracy could be differentiators here. He would have to wait until Matthew Stafford is done playing football, which might be after 2026, given how his current contract is structured.
2. Arizona: New coaching staff rooted in West Coast concepts could pair the smart Simpson with one of the league's larger receiving corps. The souped-up scheme wouldn't be a stretch for Simpson to learn, and the offensive line could be mildly improved from last year.
3. Pittsburgh: Draft week is here, and Aaron Rodgers still hasn't committed to playing for the Steelers in 2026. Even if Rodgers comes back, the Steelers need a long-term solution. New coach Mike McCarthy might see a little bit of Dak Prescott in Simpson and would be able to build the roster up a little before putting Simpson on the field in 2027.