Thursday's MLB slate still has plenty of action, and for those looking at home run prop bets, SportsLine expert Jacob Fetner has identified his top picks. Fetner, who finished last season up an impressive 50 units on his home run selections, is already up 1.6 units this week after successfully backing Brandon Lowe to homer in consecutive games. Today, he's targeting three specific players to go deep.

Fetner's first pick is Brewers catcher William Contreras. He highlights Contreras's stronger performance at home and against left-handed pitching, noting his two homers in his last ten home games. The matchup is key, as he faces Nationals lefty Patrick Corbin, who has been far more vulnerable to right-handed batters, allowing 18 of his 23 homers to them over the past year. With Milwaukee's American Family Field also playing as a hitter-friendly park today, Fetner sees clear value in Contreras's home run odds.

His second selection is Athletics first baseman Nick Kurtz. Kurtz has shown a pronounced platoon advantage, crushing right-handed pitching to the tune of a 1.075 OPS since last season. He'll face Rangers right-hander Jack Leiter, who has struggled with the long ball on the road, surrendering seven homers over his last eight away starts. Fetner also points to Kurtz's prior success in a small sample against Leiter, including a home run, as a positive indicator for this matchup.

The final pick is Angels outfielder Mickey Moniak. While the full analysis for Moniak wasn't detailed in the provided text, Fetner's track record suggests his selections are backed by deep statistical analysis, often focusing on platoon advantages, pitcher tendencies, and ballpark factors. For bettors and fans alike, these insights provide a data-driven look at which hitters have the best chance to deliver a highlight-reel moment with one swing tonight.