Tuesday night's interleague clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and Milwaukee Brewers in Milwaukee features a compelling pitching duel that could hinge on one key matchup: Daulton Varsho's bat versus Jacob Misiorowski's fastball.
Brewers' rookie flamethrower Jacob Misiorowski brings serious heat, sitting around 98 mph with a four-seamer he throws over 60% of the time. However, his early-season numbers show a vulnerability to hard contact, ranking in the bottom half of the league in hard-hit rate allowed.
This plays directly into the hands of Toronto's Daulton Varsho, who has been scorching hot at the plate. Riding a four-game hit streak where he's batting .412, Varsho has been a fastball specialist early this season. He leads the Blue Jays with a .365 average and a 60% hard-hit rate against four-seamers, making him a prime candidate to connect for his third home run in four games against Misiorowski's primary offering.
On the other side, Blue Jays' ace Kevin Gausman presents a massive challenge for the Brewers' lineup. Historically, Milwaukee has struggled mightily against him, posting a collective .177 batting average and a meager .505 OPS. His signature splitter could be particularly troublesome for Brewers' star William Contreras, who is 0-for-6 with five strikeouts lifetime against Gausman and has a 40% strikeout rate against splitters over the last two seasons.
While the Jays' offense has shown a recent trend of hitting the Under on their first five innings team total, the spotlight tonight is firmly on Varsho's power potential in a favorable matchup. With a hard-throwing rookie on the mound and a veteran ace dealing for Toronto, this game promises high-velocity drama from the first pitch.
