The PGA Championship is here, and with the biggest field in major golf teeing off at Aronimink Golf Club this week, the Wanamaker Trophy is up for grabs. But let's be real—while every player technically has a shot, those at 200,000-to-1 odds might want to keep their expectations in check (no offense).

Instead of a dry list of who's playing, we're breaking down the contenders into tiers. If someone we skip ends up hoisting the trophy, we'll happily eat our words and never do this again.

Top Tier: The Two-Horse Race
Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy have dominated the majors, winning four of the last five between them. McIlroy just slipped into a green jacket at the Masters, and now he's playing with house money—collecting major titles like it's second nature. Scheffler, meanwhile, is defending his PGA Championship crown and has finished runner-up in his last three starts, including at Augusta. Don't overthink it: one of these two is likely walking away with the trophy.

Close Behind: The Three-Horse Race
OK, maybe it's a three-horse race. Cameron Young has been on fire this spring: T-3 at Bay Hill, a win at The Players, T-3 at the Masters, T-25 at the RBC Heritage, and a victory at the Cadillac Championship. Sure, he shot a 74 on Sunday at the Truist Championship—his worst round of the season—but we're calling that a fluke. Expect Young to be in the mix come Sunday.

Flashback Vibes: The "Big 3" or "Big 4" Debate
Remember 2015-2016 when golf media couldn't decide if the top tier was a "Big 3" or "Big 4" with Spieth, Day, McIlroy, and Johnson? This isn't quite that, but with Rory and Scottie leading the charge, the competition is just as thrilling. Whether you're rooting for a defending champ, a major winner on a hot streak, or a breakout star, this year's PGA Championship has all the ingredients for a classic showdown.