The 2026 PGA Championship is finally here, and golf fans are buzzing as the season's second major tees off Thursday, May 14, at 6:45 a.m. ET from the historic Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. All eyes are on defending champion Scottie Scheffler, who dominated last year's event at Quail Hollow with a commanding five-stroke victory. According to the latest odds from FanDuel, Scheffler enters as the +390 favorite, meaning a $100 bet would net $390 if he wins again.
But the competition is fierce. Back-to-back Masters champion Rory McIlroy sits at +950, while rising star Cameron Young follows at +1200. Other top contenders include Jon Rahm (+1500), Ludvig Aberg (+1800), Xander Schauffele (+1800), and Bryson DeChambeau (+2000). With so much talent on the leaderboard, picking a winner is no easy task.
That's where SportsLine's proven computer model comes in. Built by DFS pro Mike McClure, this sophisticated system has simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and has an impressive track record—nailing 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters (its fifth straight correct Masters prediction), last year's PGA Championship, and The Open Championship. Bettors who have followed its picks have seen massive returns.
For the 2026 PGA Championship, the model ran another 10,000 simulations, and the results are turning heads. One of the biggest surprises? It projects that Bryson DeChambeau—despite being a runner-up in this event the past two years and sitting at +2000 odds—will barely crack the top 10. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters and withdrew from LIV Golf Mexico City in April due to wrist discomfort, raising questions about his form. Meanwhile, he has recorded three straight top-five finishes at the PGA Championship, making this projection all the more intriguing.
Whether you're making PGA picks, building DFS lineups, or playing One and Done contests, the model's full projected leaderboard is a must-see. Head to SportsLine now to uncover which golfers are poised to surprise—and which favorites might fade—at Aronimink this week.