The 2026 PGA Championship is shaping up to be an absolute thriller. Major season exploded into action as Rory McIlroy successfully defended his green jacket at Augusta, capturing his second straight Masters title. Now all eyes turn to Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania, where the PGA Championship tees off on Thursday, May 14.
Defending champion Scottie Scheffler enters as the man to beat. After finishing runner-up at both the Masters and the recent RBC Heritage, Scheffler is looking to replicate his dominant five-stroke victory at Quail Hollow last year. The betting odds reflect his form, with FanDuel listing him as the +350 favorite. That means a $100 bet could net you $350 if he hoists the Wanamaker Trophy again.
But the field is loaded with talent. Rory McIlroy sits at +650, fresh off his Masters triumph and hungry for another major. Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm are both listed at +1200, while Cameron Young has surged to +1400 following his impressive win at the Cadillac Championship. Matt Fitzpatrick, already with three wins this season, is at +1800 and looking to add a second major to his résumé.
Here's where things get interesting. SportsLine's proprietary golf model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated the PGA Championship 10,000 times. The results are turning heads. This same model has correctly predicted 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters—its fifth consecutive correct Masters call—as well as last year's PGA Championship and The Open Championship. If you've been following its picks, you've likely seen some serious returns.
One of the biggest surprises? The model projects that DeChambeau barely cracks the top five, despite being one of the favorites at +1200. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters and struggled mightily in Mexico City two weeks ago, falling 16 shots behind the lead. That inconsistency has the model skeptical of his chances at Aronimink.
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To see the full projected leaderboard, including which longshots could make a run and which favorites are being faded, head to SportsLine now. Their model has a proven track record, and with the PGA Championship just around the corner, you won't want to miss these insights for your PGA picks, one-and-done contests, or DFS lineups.