The 2026 PGA Championship is set to begin Thursday morning at 6:45 a.m. ET, and all eyes are on Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania, as it hosts its second major championship. Last year, Scottie Scheffler put on a clinic at Quail Hollow, winning by five strokes. Now, he's aiming to become just the fourth player in the stroke-play era to win back-to-back PGA Championships. But the storylines don't stop there.
Brooks Koepka is chasing history of his own, looking to join an elite group of players who have won at least four PGA Championships. Meanwhile, Jordan Spieth is on a quest to complete the career Grand Slam—the final piece of a puzzle that has eluded him for years. And let's not forget Rory McIlroy, who is trying to become the first golfer since 1975 to win both the Masters and the PGA Championship in the same year.
Scheffler enters as the +480 favorite in the 2026 PGA Championship odds, with McIlroy right behind him at +950. Koepka is listed at +3500, and Spieth at +5500. But as any seasoned golf fan knows, odds are just numbers until the tournament begins. That's where the experts come in.
SportsLine's golf betting model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire. It simulates every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and has correctly predicted 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters—its fifth straight Masters win—as well as last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. For this year's event, the model has run the numbers again, and the results are turning heads.
One of the model's biggest surprises? Cameron Young, the world No. 3 and third on the odds board at +1200, is projected to stumble and not even crack the top five. Young has had a breakout season, winning the Players Championship and the Cadillac Championship earlier this month. But his major tournament record tells a different story. He's 0 for 19 in majors, with as many missed cuts (seven) as top-25 finishes. Over his last three PGA Championship starts, he's finished 47th, 63rd, and missed the cut entirely.
With so much on the line—history, legacy, and the Wanamaker Trophy—the 2026 PGA Championship promises to be a thrilling ride. Whether you're rooting for a defending champion, a Grand Slam chaser, or a longshot, this year's field is stacked with talent and drama. And if you're looking to get in on the action, remember that the models have been right before—and they're already making some bold calls this week.